Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy (Puntarenas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Puntarenas FC		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.58	3.8	5.15	Watch
	1.56	4.07	5.82
	1.55	4.21	5.49	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5
	1.53	3.78	5.51	Watch
	1.54	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)	3.85 ↑ (3.73)	5.42 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puntarenas FC
59.3%

Draw
23.8%

Guadalupe
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

22.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puntarenas FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puntarenas FC's performance.

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puntarenas FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guadalupe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pineda A. (G) 25. Gomez K. 4. Decas W. 5. Samadian F. 12. Villalobos K. 98. Gomez I. 15. Munoz H. 60. Leiva J. 30. Segura U. (C) 9. Carballo R. 22. Colindres D.	33. Delgado J. (G) 2. Miranda R. 31. Fajardo K. 5. Quiros W. 4. Guzman K. 35. Mendez G. 32. Taylor S. 11. Angulo M. (C) 10. Morales E. 27. Amador A. 79. Maleck J.
Substitutes
77. Alvarez P. 33. Barrera G. (G) 36. Camareno D. 41. Cordero D. 6. Gutierrez K. 7. Hernandez J. 8. Lopez J. 14. Sinclair A. 11. Taylor R.	21. Bonilla B. 9. Clunie G. 3. Espino N. 28. Gamez S. 99. Leal R. (G) 23. Lopez B. 12. Mclean K. 30. Morejon J. 34. Morera G. M. 14. Rojas H.
Coaches
Alpizar C.	Wright M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Munoz H. 🟨,
40', Segura U. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Mendez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amador A. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
46', Morales E. ↓, Gamez S. ↑,
52', Decas W. 🟨,
63', Segura U. ↓, Sinclair A. ↑,
70', Mendez G. ↓, Bonilla B. ↑,
70', Maleck J. ↓, Clunie G. ↑,
76', Bonilla B. 🟨,
79', Quiros W. ↓, Mclean K. ↑,
80', Munoz H. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puntarenas won 3.

Puntarenas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guadalupe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Puntarenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Puntarenas is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Puntarenas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Puntarenas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Puntarenas FC	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puntarenas FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
21.01.26	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Puntarenas FC - Cartagines	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Puntarenas FC	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
30.11.25	Puntarenas FC - Sporting San José	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWT
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.01.26	Herediano - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Cartagines - Guadalupe	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Guadalupe - Pérez Zeledón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
06.12.25	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	4:0
09.08.25	Guadalupe - Puntarenas FC	3:2
Costa Rican Copa
10.10.24	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	1:0
Costa Rican Primera Division
03.04.23	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	1:2
05.02.23	Guadalupe - Puntarenas FC	0:1
Costa Rican Copa
25.11.22	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	2:1 penalties
17.11.22	Guadalupe - Puntarenas FC	1:1

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