Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza (Cartago)


	Cartagines		Guanacasteca

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	7.4
	1.42	3.95	6.1
	1.49	3.76	7.67	Watch
	1.45	3.82	7.6	Watch
	1.46	3.9	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	3.87 ↑ (3.85)	7.23 ↓ (7.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagines
63.4%

Draw
23.9%

Guanacasteca
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

24%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

22.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Guanacasteca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Cartagines - Guanacasteca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagines won 1.

Cartagines in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guanacasteca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cartagines could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cartagines is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cartagines to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Cartagines won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:16 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagines won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
16.04.25	San Carlos - Cartagines	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cartagines - Pérez Zeledón	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Herediano - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Cartagines - Puntarenas FC	1:0 ✺
27.03.25	Santa Ana - Cartagines	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTWW
- AD Guanacasteca
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.04.25	Pérez Zeledón - Guanacasteca	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guanacasteca - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Santa Ana - Guanacasteca	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Guanacasteca - San Carlos	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Municipal Liberia - Guanacasteca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
09.02.25	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:0
28.09.24	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	1:1
10.08.24	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:3
28.02.24	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:0
16.01.24	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	1:2
23.09.23	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:2
Costa Rican Copa
05.09.23	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:0

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