Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Chorotega (Nicoya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV


	Guanacasteca		Santa Ana

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.04	3.1	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.31	3.83
	2.08	3.22	3.66	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.06	3.32	3.52	Watch
	2.04	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.31)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guanacasteca
44.9%

Draw
28.8%

Santa Ana
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guanacasteca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Santa Ana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Guanacasteca - Santa Ana Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guanacasteca will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guanacasteca: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lajud G. (G) 26. Hernandez J. 16. Leveron J. 88. Matarrita S. 14. Mendez G. 5. Molina Y. 22. Mora J. 8. Olivero J. 17. Rodriguez N. 24. Ugalde J. 9. Venegas J.	1. Pemberton P. (G) 33. Casado E. 19. Castro G. 15. Chevez A. 5. Fallas L. 2. Lopez L. 6. Madrigal J. 24. Meneses Salazar M. J. 28. Ortiz K. 14. Russell M. 39. Villalobos M.
Substitutes
21. Brown J. 10. Cordoba J. 25. Lopez A. 27. Matarrita J. 13. Mejia J. (G) 6. Morales J. 2. Morera P.	31. Barrantes M. 8. Condega J. 21. Juarez F. 50. Masis D. 4. Morejon D. 95. Nixon Guylherme 35. Rojas D. (G)
Coaches
Garcia Quevedo J.	Salomon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Olivero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Olivero J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
73', Meneses Salazar M. J. ↓, Morejon D. ↑,
73', Russell M. ↓, Barrantes M. ↑,
79', Matarrita S. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
81', Ortiz K. ↓, Masis D. ↑,
87', Ugalde J. 🟨,
89', Casado E. ↓, Condega J. ↑,
90+1', Pemberton P. 🟨,
90+3', Mora J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
90+9', Barrantes M. 🟨,
90+10', Barrantes M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Santa Ana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guanacasteca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guanacasteca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Guanacasteca
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.02.25	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Guanacasteca - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Guanacasteca	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Guanacasteca - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWLT
- AD Santa Ana
Costa Rican Primera Division
16.02.25	Santa Ana - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Cartagines - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Santa Ana	2:3 ✺
01.02.25	Santa Ana - San Carlos	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Santa Ana - Sporting San José	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
25.11.24	Santa Ana - Guanacasteca	2:1
11.09.24	Guanacasteca - Santa Ana	1:0

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