Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Piedades (Santa Ana)

Referee: Cruz H. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV
North-central-america	Centro America TV


	Santa Ana		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.45
	5.4	3.9	1.51	Watch
	6.54	4.26	1.49
	6.47	4.31	1.47	Watch
	6	4	1.44
	5.9	4.44	1.48	Watch
	5.4	3.9	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↑ (4)	4.16 ↑ (3.44)	1.48 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Costa Rican Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Centro America TV

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Current Win Probability

Santa Ana
15.6%

Draw
22.1%

Deportivo Saprissa
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.5%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

26%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Ana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Ana's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Saprissa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Ana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Saprissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Santa Ana - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Saprissa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pemberton P. (G) 2. Lopez L. 24. Meneses Salazar M. J. 6. Madrigal J. 19. Castro G. 14. Russell M. 28. Ortiz K. 39. Villalobos M. 5. Fallas L. 15. Chevez A. 33. Casado E.	18. Alvarado E. (G) 21. Escobar F. 33. Myrie K. 16. Anderson E. 36. Palmer D. 5. Mora J. 25. Acuna S. 8. Guzman D. 37. Vivi Quesada G. 32. Delgadillo N. 9. Sabin
Substitutes
70. Astua B. 17. Camareno J. 8. Condega J. 4. Morejon D. 35. Rojas D. (G) 11. Torres A. 12. Zuniga E.	13. Alfaro I. (G) 39. Barahona A. 19. Bolanos R. 11. Loria M. 14. Rodriguez A. 42. Taylor S. 20. Torres M.
Coaches
Salomon C.	Giacone J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Condega J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Casado E. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Delgadillo N. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
46', Myrie K. ↓, Loria M. ↑,
46', Palmer D. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
63', Acuna S. ↓, Taylor S. ↑,
67', 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Castro G. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Vivi Quesada G. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

Santa Ana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saprissa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Ana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saprissa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Ana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Ana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Santa Ana
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.02.25	Cartagines - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Santa Ana	2:3 ✺
01.02.25	Santa Ana - San Carlos	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Santa Ana - Sporting San José	1:2 ✺
22.01.25	Municipal Liberia - Santa Ana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLL
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
12.02.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Puntarenas FC	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
04.02.25	Guanacasteca - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	2:3 ✺
29.01.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Santos de Guápiles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
01.12.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Santa Ana	2:1
16.08.24	Santa Ana - Deportivo Saprissa	0:3

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