Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Chorotega (Nicoya)

Referee: Montero J. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV


	Guanacasteca		Cartagines

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.3
	3	2.95	2.2
	3	2.9	2.29	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.34
	3.3	3.04	2.31	Watch
	3	2.9	2.4
	3.3	3.01	2.3	Watch
	3	2.9	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.65)	2.98 ↓ (3.13)	2.3 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guanacasteca
29.1%

Draw
30.9%

Cartagines
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guanacasteca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guanacasteca's form might have worsened.

Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Guanacasteca - Cartagines Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cartagines will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lajud G. (G) 16. Leveron J. 5. Molina Y. 14. Mendez G. 26. Hernandez J. 22. Mora J. 88. Matarrita S. 30. Porras J. A. 17. Rodriguez N. 24. Ugalde J. 9. Venegas J. (C)	1. Briceno K. (G) 4. Espinoza K. 12. Quiros J. 5. Pereira M. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 8. Lopez D. 10. Nunez C. (C) 15. Flores L. 9. Quiroga M. 21. Urena M. 22. Batiz J.
Substitutes
21. Brown J. 10. Cordoba J. 27. Matarrita J. 13. Mejia J. (G) 6. Morales J. 42. Saravia H. 19. Smith R.	26. Alfaro B. 23. Daly J. 7. Guevara A. 34. Hidalgo D. (G) 20. Mesen D. 25. Michel K. 24. Zuniga S.
Coaches
Montero C.	Carevic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Pereira M. 🟨,
44', Ugalde J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Venegas J. ⚽,
58', Batiz J. ↓, Michel K. ↑,
58', Lopez D. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
65', Venegas J. 🟨,
70', Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↓, Zuniga S. ↑,
70', Quiroga M. ↓, Daly J. ↑,
76', Urena M. ↓, Alfaro B. ↑,
80', Rodriguez N. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
81', Matarrita S. ↓, Matarrita J. ↑,
90+4', Ugalde J. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
90+5', Quiros J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Guanacasteca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cartagines will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Guanacasteca won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Guanacasteca
Costa Rican Primera Division
04.02.25	Guanacasteca - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Guanacasteca	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Guanacasteca - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	San Carlos - Guanacasteca	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Guanacasteca - Pérez Zeledón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLTTL
- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
02.02.25	Alajuelense - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
23.01.25	Cartagines - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Cartagines - Municipal Liberia	0:1 ✺
16.01.25	Sporting San José - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Cartagines - Santos de Guápiles	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
28.09.24	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	1:1
10.08.24	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:3
28.02.24	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:0
16.01.24	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	1:2
23.09.23	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:2
Costa Rican Copa
05.09.23	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:0
Costa Rican Primera Division
27.07.23	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	1:0

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