Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou)


	Guangdong GZ-Power		Wenzhou Professional

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.19	4.8	18
				Watch
	1.21	4.87	12.84
	1.15	5.59	16.32
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.15	6.01	17.5
	1.26	4.7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.43)	5 ↑ (4.06)	13.69 ↑ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong GZ-Power
74.9%

Draw
18.4%

Wenzhou Professional
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong GZ-Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangdong GZ-Power's performance.

Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wenzhou Professional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wenzhou Professional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Chen J. (G) 16. Han Xuan 2. Huang Jiaqiang 6. Ji Zhengyu 20. Liu Ziheng 7. Xu Jiajun 5. Zhang Hao 8. Cai Haochang 10. Liang Xueming 9. Xia Dalong 56. Tang Tianyi	37. Jappar Mewlan (G) 2. Wang Tianqing 8. Zhang Z. 15. Ruan Sai 4. Zhao W. 17. Zhao S. 7. Ma Y. 19. Geng Taili 47. Gao Jingchun 25. Gao J. 20. Ou X.
Substitutes
11. Chen Liming 58. Huang Shenghao 15. Jin Qiang 28. Lin Huahuan 33. Liu Jiqiang 38. Tu Dongxu 27. Wu Xingyu 47. Xiao Jiaqi (G) 29. Xiao Zhi 14. Zeng Chao 19. Zhang Jinliang 50. Zhou Weijun	12. Chen Rijin 44. Chen Shihao 6. Huang Guangliang 9. Li M. 3. Liu Ruicheng 18. Lu Jiabin 29. Pang Jiajun (G) 33. Wang Jiaqi 36. Wang Jinze 58. Wang L. 30. Wang Lingke 13. Zhang M.
Coaches
Li B.	Jiang Chen

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Cai Haochang ⚽, Xu Jiajun (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhang Hao ↓, Jin Qiang ↑,
62', Zhao S. ↓, Wang Lingke ↑,
62', Ma Y. ↓, Wang Jiaqi ↑,
63', Xu Jiajun ↓, Lin Huahuan ↑,
63', Xia Dalong ↓, Xiao Zhi ↑,
72', Zhang Z. ↓, Zhang M. ↑,
74', Liu Ziheng 🟨,
82', Wang Tianqing ↓, Lu Jiabin ↑,
82', Liang Xueming ↓, Zeng Chao ↑,
83', Gao Jingchun ↓, Wang L. ↑,
90', Tang Tianyi ↓, Zhou Weijun ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Guangdong GZ-Power in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Jiangxi Dark Horse is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Guangdong GZ-Power is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Guangdong GZ-Power to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong GZ-Power FC
Chinese Yi League
05.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shanghai Port B	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:4 ✺
Chinese Yi League
15.04.24	Kunming City - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- Wenzhou Professional
Chinese Yi League
04.05.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Wenzhou Professional - Shenzhen Juniors	2:3 ✺
16.04.24	Wenzhou Professional - Hunan Billows	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Wenzhou Professional	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Wenzhou Professional - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTL

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