Match Info

Jia League - Round 7

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Guangdong GZ-Power

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.45
	3.2	3.05	2.2	Watch
	3.41	3	2.29
	3.42	3	2.28	Watch
	3.25	3.04	2.17	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.8)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
28.8%

Draw
30.6%

Guangdong GZ-Power
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

30.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Guangdong GZ-Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangdong GZ Power Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lin Xiang (G) 39. Xu Junchi 36. Yang Yun 19. Liu H. (C) 27. Gao Huaze 33. Dankler 11. Zhu Haiwei 10. An Yifei 14. Ma Chongchong 9. Olavio 8. Ayovi J.	23. Chen J. (G) 25. Wang Chien-Ming 5. Jiang Jihong 2. Chen Guoliang 27. Wu Xingyu 21. Cui Xinglong 34. Hou Yu 26. Ma Junliang 37. Shang Yin 7. Joao Carlos 20. Farley Rosa
Substitutes
6. Chen Zhexuan 2. Deng Jiajie 20. Liu Le 7. Liu Ziming 1. Nie Xuran (G) 4. Pan Kui 29. Wang Jingbin 35. Yang Zhaohui 24. Yu Joy-yin 21. Zhan Sainan 34. Zhao Yubo 45. Zhao Z.	1. Chen Zhao (G) 15. Deng Biao 39. Huang Shenghao 13. Jiang Z. 10. Liang Xueming 29. Shan P. 38. Tu Dongxu 9. Xia Dalong 42. Yang Hao 17. Yan Zihao 14. Zeng Chao
Coaches
Zhang Hui	Li B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Xu Junchi 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Dankler ⚽, Olavio (A),
42', Farley Rosa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gao Huaze ↓, Yu Joy-yin ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Cui Xinglong ⚽, Wu Xingyu (A),
58', Zhu Haiwei ↓, Liu Le ↑,
69', Ayovi J. ↓, Zhao Z. ↑,
75', Hou Yu ↓, Xia Dalong ↑,
75', Cui Xinglong ↓, Huang Shenghao ↑,
75', Ma Junliang ↓, Liang Xueming ↑,
77', Ma Chongchong ↓, Pan Kui ↑,
77', Olavio ↓, Liu Ziming ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Xia Dalong ⚽, Joao Carlos (A),
83', Liu Le 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guangdong GZ-Power is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guangdong GZ-Power may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
27.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.25	Taian Tiankuang - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Ningbo Professional - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWW
- Guangdong GZ-Power FC
Chinese Jia League
27.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Dalian Kun City - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLTW

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