The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangdong Mingtu 28.1%
Draw 27.7%
Xiamen Feilu 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
30.3%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
30%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangdong Mingtu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangdong Mingtu's form might have worsened.
Xiamen Feilu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xiamen Feilu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiamen Feilu than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xiamen Feilu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guangdong Mingtu - Xiamen Feilu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Li C. (G) 16. Cai M. 36. Tan Zhennan 52. Zhong W. 5. Jiang Yixiang 6. Huang Guangliang (C) 17. Wang Tanyou 43. Zhu Xinyu 42. He J. 28. Zhang Zhihao 22. Fang H.
28. Zhou Yuchen (G) 47. Shi Yunfeng 16. Li Bowen 35. Zhang Shuai 13. Liao Lei 18. Tursun Qeyser 10. Lu Chenghe (C) 9. Xu Wu 17. Zimin Nuali 11. Shi Letian 7. Liu Ziming
Substitutes
12. Chen Rijin 7. Gu Zhiwei 9. Li Ming 3. Liu Ruicheng 39. Pang Jiajun (G) 40. Sun Chenxi 8. Tian Li 10. Wen Y. 50. Wu Z. 11. Xin Hongjun 46. Yang Zhengyi 19. Ye Zimin
8. Chen Zeng 23. Cui Wei 39. Gu Jiayi 2. Han Yiheng 30. Liang Peiwen 1. Li Yuefeng (G) 5. Pan Yuchen 22. Wu Wei 25. Zhang Yue 27. Zhuo Zhenkai
Coaches
Sanabria A.
Hao W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Zhu Xinyu ⚽, Fang H. (A),
20', Tan Zhennan 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Liu Ziming ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', He J. ↓, Li Ming ↑,
56', Huang Guangliang ↓, Tian Li ↑,
60', Xu Wu ↓, Chen Zeng ↑,
60', Shi Letian ↓, Gu Jiayi ↑,
61', Lu Chenghe 🟨,
66', Zhu Xinyu ↓, Gu Zhiwei ↑,
74', Lu Chenghe ↓, Zhuo Zhenkai ↑,
74', Shi Yunfeng 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Liu Ziming ⚽,
84', Cai M. ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
85', Jiang Yixiang ↓, Sun Chenxi ↑,
87', Liu Ziming ↓, Zhang Yue ↑,
87', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Wu Wei ↑,
88', Zhang Zhihao ↓, Liu Ruicheng ↑,
90+4', Liao Lei ↓, Liang Peiwen ↑,
90+6', Zimin Nuali 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).
Guangdong Mingtu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Xiamen Feilu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Xiamen Feilu could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
China
Watch
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Li C. (G) 
Sanabria A. 
