Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 8

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)


	Guarani		Santo André

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.9
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	1.99	3.1	3.95
	1.98	3.25	4.08
	1.85	3.1	3.75
	1.97	3.2	3.86
	1.95	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.8)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)	3.94 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
47.4%

Draw
29.1%

Santo André
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Guarani - Santo André Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Vladimir (G) 2. Heitor 3. Leo Santos 4. Rayan 16. Helder Santos 18. Matheus Bueno 5. Anderson Leite 14. Camacho (C) 20. Reinaldo 78. Regis 7. Pablo Thomaz	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Afonso 3. Joao Maistro 4. Walce 6. Igor Fernandes 23. Junior Caicara 5. Wellington Reis 7. Geovane 8. Dudu Vieira (C) 9. Leo Passos 10. Bruno Michel
Substitutes
10. Chay 13. Diogo Mateus 31. Douglas Borges (G) 33. Gustavo Franca 37. Iago Teles 21. Lucas Araujo 44. Marcio Silva 8. Marlon Douglas 15. Pedro Henrique 26. Rafael Freitas 23. Wenderson 25. Witinho	20. Alexiel 22. Ariel 14. Enzo 18. Felipe Ferreira 19. Lohan 17. Marciel 21. Richard 16. Robinho 15. Sousa 12. Wellington Santana (G) 13. Ze Mateus
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Fernandes M.

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Santo André could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guarani will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guarani won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Guarani - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Santos - Guarani	2:0 ✺
31.01.24	Guarani - Mirassol	2:3 ✺
27.01.24	Ituano - Guarani	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW
- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.02.24	Santo André - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
08.02.24	Mirassol - Santo André	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Santo André - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
01.02.24	Botafogo SP - Santo André	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Santo André - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.01.23	Santo André - Guarani	1:0
26.02.22	Guarani - Santo André	2:3
26.04.21	Santo André - Guarani	0:1

Guarani - Santo André: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide