Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guarani MG		Tupi MG

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2.1	3.1	2.88
	2.35	3.15	2.6
	2.1	3.05	3.19
	1.96	3.34	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.45)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	3.09 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani MG
42.6%

Draw
28.3%

Tupi MG
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

22.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani MG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani MG's performance.

Tupi MG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tupi MG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani MG than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani MG that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tupi MG than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tupi MG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guarani MG - Tupi MG Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Guarani MG have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Guarani MG won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani MG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
23.08.21	Democrata GV - Guarani MG	2:0 ✺
16.08.21	Democrata SL - Guarani MG	1:0 ✺
11.08.21	Guarani MG - Betim	0:2 ✺
31.07.21	Aymorés - Guarani MG	0:2 ✺
24.07.21	Tupynambás - Guarani MG	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Tupi MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
22.08.21	Tupi MG - Villa Nova AC	1:2 ✺
16.08.21	Democrata GV - Tupi MG	3:1 ✺
11.08.21	Tupi MG - Tupynambás	1:0 ✺
31.07.21	União Luziense - Tupi MG	2:0 ✺
24.07.21	Democrata SL - Tupi MG	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
16.02.20	Tupi MG - Guarani MG	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.02.19	Guarani MG - Tupi MG	0:0
20.02.16	Tupi MG - Guarani MG	3:1
29.03.15	Guarani MG - Tupi MG	1:0

Guarani MG - Tupi MG

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Guarani MG - Tupi MG Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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