Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Guarani U20		Desportivo Brasil U20

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.6
	1.72	3.47	4.60	Watch
	1.64	3.75	4.94
	1.6	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	4.79 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani U20
55.4%

Draw
25.6%

Desportivo Brasil U20
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Desportivo Brasil U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Brasil U20 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Guarani U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Guarani U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

D Brasil U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Guarani U20 is the team to beat.

We predict that Guarani U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guarani U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.09.25	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Guarani U20	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Guarani U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	3:2 ✺
06.08.25	Mauá U20 - Guarani U20	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Guarani U20 - São Paulo U20	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	XV de Jaú U20 - Guarani U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Desportivo Brasil U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.09.25	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Guarani U20	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Comercial Tietê U20	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	CA Bandeirante U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	0:1 ✺
25.07.25	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Piracicaba U20	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	São Paulo U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
05.09.25	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Guarani U20	0:1
09.05.25	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Guarani U20	1:0

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