The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarani de Palhoça 33.7%
Draw 31.6%
Carlos Renaux 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
32.7%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
35.1%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani de Palhoça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Carlos Renaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani de Palhoça than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Guarani de Palhoça - Carlos Renaux Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', Yan 🟥,
79', 0 - 1, Jeffinho ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Natos J. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Recent matches Guarani de Palhoça is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Carlos Renaux is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carlos Renaux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarani de Palhoça won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Guarani de Palhoça won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.