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Current Win Probability
Carlos Renaux 47%
Draw 33%
Metropolitano 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
32.1%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
33.5%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Renaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Renaux's performance.
Metropolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metropolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Renaux that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carlos Renaux - Metropolitano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Hebert ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Patrick Carvalho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Cassio ⚽,
59', Patrick Carvalho 🟥,
59', Barcelos 🟥,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
Recent performances by Carlos Renaux have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Metropolitano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Carlos Renaux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Carlos Renaux is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carlos Renaux won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlos Renaux won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Watch
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