Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense 2 - Round 8

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Catarinense		Guarani de Palhoça

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.22	3.09	2.13
	3.22	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.24	3.18	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.71)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.12 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Catarinense
28.2%

Draw
29.1%

Guarani de Palhoça
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Catarinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Catarinense's form might have worsened.

Guarani de Palhoça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarani de Palhoça's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Catarinense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Catarinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani de Palhoça than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarani de Palhoça, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Catarinense - Guarani de Palhoça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Catarinense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guarani de Palhoça is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarani de Palhoça could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Guarani de Palhoça have a series of home games.

Guarani de Palhoça will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Catarinense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
07.07.24	Atlético Catarinense - Atlético Tubarão	1:4 ✺
23.06.24	Atlético Catarinense - Grêmio Juventus	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Santa Catarina - Atlético Catarinense	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	Atlético Catarinense - Caravaggio	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Blumenau - Atlético Catarinense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLT
- Guarani de Palhoça
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
06.07.24	Guarani de Palhoça - Caravaggio	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Blumenau - Guarani de Palhoça	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Guarani de Palhoça - Metropolitano	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Guarani de Palhoça - Atlético Tubarão	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Guarani de Palhoça - Grêmio Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWT

Atlético Catarinense - Guarani de Palhoça

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Atlético Catarinense - Guarani de Palhoça Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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