The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarani de Paripueira U20 67.2%
Draw 20.3%
Aliança Pilarense U20 12.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
22.7%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
21.5%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani de Paripueira U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani de Paripueira U20's performance.
Aliança Pilarense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aliança Pilarense U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani de Paripueira U20 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani de Paripueira U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliança Pilarense U20 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aliança Pilarense U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 3 - 1, ⚽,
54', 3 - 2, ⚽,
56', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
Preview
G Paripueira U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aliança U20 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, G Paripueira U20 is the team to beat.
The teams have not played against each other recently.