The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarany Alagoano 59.1%
Draw 22.8%
Agrimaq Pilarense 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.8%
18.2%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
17.3%
13.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarany Alagoano's form might have worsened.
Agrimaq Pilarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany Alagoano than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarany Alagoano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agrimaq Pilarense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Guarany Alagoano has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Agrimaq's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Guarany Alagoano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Guarany Alagoano has had a series of home games.
In this match, Guarany Alagoano is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Guarany Alagoano will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarany Alagoano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Watch
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