Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 9

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Guarda Desportiva		Castro Daire

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.25
	2.65	3	2.43
	2.8	3.15	2.29
	2.99	3.13	2.29
	2.97	3.14	2.25
	2.9	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.48)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	2.31 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda Desportiva
31.7%

Draw
29%

Castro Daire
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda Desportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castro Daire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Guarda Desportiva has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castro Daire is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Beira-Mar - Guarda Desportiva	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Marítimo B	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Resende	0:3 ✺
30.10.22	Lusitânia - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Guarda Desportiva - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT
- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Castro Daire - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Gondomar - Castro Daire	3:1 ✺
06.11.22	Castro Daire - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Rebordosa - Castro Daire	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Castro Daire - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Guarda Desportiva - Castro Daire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide