The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarnizo 75.1%
Draw 16.2%
Noja 8.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.1%
18.6%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.8%
17.1%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarnizo's performance.
Noja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noja than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Guarnizo - Noja Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Ceballos A. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Somaza D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, Rubi ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Ocejo G. ⚽,
88', 4 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Guarnizo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Noja is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Guarnizo is the clear favorite.
We predict that Guarnizo will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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