Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 29Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Guarnizo |
|
Cayón |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.78 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.48 |
2.96 |
2.92 |
|
 |
2.51 |
2.91 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.44 |
2.86 |
2.93 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.76) |
2.85 ↓
(2.87) |
2.89 ↑
(2.54) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guarnizo
36.7% | Draw
31.9% | Cayón
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Guarnizo - Cayón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Fernandez Gomez G. 🟥,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1.Guarnizo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Cayón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Guarnizo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Cayon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
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|
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| 13 | Guarnizo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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