The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarulhos 32.8%
Draw 29%
Flamengo de Guarulhos 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
28.2%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
25.4%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarulhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Flamengo de Guarulhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarulhos than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo de Guarulhos than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo de Guarulhos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guarulhos - Flamengo de Guarulhos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Guarulhos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Flamengo SP is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Flamengo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Flamengo SP has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guarulhos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
Including home match between the teams, Guarulhos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.