Match Info

Challenge League - Round 5

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gudja United		Fgura United

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.10	1.49
	5.3	3.8	1.5
	6.1	3.72	1.51	Watch
	5.7	4.05	1.37
	6.48	3.92	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.72 ↑ (5.3)	3.92 ↑ (3.55)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
15.7%

Draw
22.9%

Fgura United
61.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.7%

25%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fgura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gudja United - Fgura United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Carbone J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Souza B. (Penalty Awarded),
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th in the Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

In this matchup, Fgura is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Gudja United has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gudja United against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Fgura	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
16	Gudja	5	0	0	5	1:9	-8	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
17.10.26	Żurrieq - Gudja United	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Gudja United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Gudja United	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Gudja United - Melita	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Gudja United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
17.10.26	Fgura United - Santa Lucia	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Victoria Hotspurs - Fgura United	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Fgura United - Sirens	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Fgura United	0:4 ✺
19.04.26	Swieqi United - Fgura United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
11.01.26	Fgura United - Gudja United	1:1
22.02.25	Gudja United - Fgura United	2:3
24.11.24	Fgura United - Gudja United	1:2

Gudja United - Fgura United