Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.7	3.75
	2.4	2.65	3.3
	2.25	2.7	3.5
	2.37	2.65	3.35
	2.58	2.54	3.8
	2.35	2.55	3.5
	2.31	2.74	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.18)	2.65 ↓ (2.76)	3.51 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
38.8%

Draw
34.9%

Chaco For Ever
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

33.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

32.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	68.7%	12.5%

Guillermo Brown - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Chaco For Ever will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 21 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Guillermo Brown is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chaco For Ever is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chaco For Ever could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guillermo Brown will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.22	San Martín de San Juan - Guillermo Brown	4:1 ✺
14.08.22	Guillermo Brown - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	3:2 ✺
01.08.22	Guillermo Brown - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
28.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.22	Chaco For Ever - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	1:2 ✺
07.08.22	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
01.08.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
27.07.22	Chaco For Ever - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWTW

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