Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.35	Watch
	1.93	3.05	4.18
	1.52	3.85	6.64	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.09	Watch
	1.42	3.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.43)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)	5.35 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
55%

Draw
27.5%

Guillermo Brown
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.6%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

23.3%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Rafaela's form might have worsened.

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guillermo Brown, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillermo Brown (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 7. Leineker C. 4. Martinez M. 11. Pastorelli A. 6. Ponce F. 5. Soloa F. 3. Wuattier E. R.	1. Soria M. (G) 6. Actis D. 5. Chiavetto A. 11. Gimenez M. 7. Gonzalez L. 3. Kostelak A. 9. Morales E. 2. Paparelli R. 8. Persia M. 10. Rivero M. 4. Zubowicz M.
Substitutes
20. Aquino D. 12. Bergia M. (G) 19. Fernandez M. 13. Fuyana J. 15. Jaime D. 17. Marchiori T. 18. Marquez E. 16. Miranda B. 14. Stizza J.	20. Ilarregui F. 14. Juarez 13. Lazarte G. 18. Lopez R. 17. Paileman R. 15. Ramirez M. 16. Rodriguez F. 19. Trigo S. 12. Ullua S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Morales E. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Leineker C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 2.

Atlético Rafaela is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guillermo Brown has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.11.25	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 penalties ✺
12.10.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWW
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.11.25	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.11.25	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	4:1
05.11.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	0:1
11.07.21	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1
07.10.18	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0
04.02.18	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:3

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