Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	5
	1.9	3	4.2
	1.95	2.95	4.33
	1.98	2.96	4.87
	1.96	2.96	4.87
	1.95	3	4.2
	1.96	3.02	4.22
	1.93	3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2)	2.99 ↓ (3.03)	4.51 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
48.1%

Draw
31.3%

Guillermo Brown
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Budino M. (G) 4. Del Col M. 2. Perales V. 6. Ledesma D. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Miranda F. 5. Brinone S. 10. Acosta E. 11. Contreras E. 7. Fagundez F. 9. Beron J.	1. Soria M. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Carrera S. 3. Gorgerino C. 8. Torres F. 5. Marin F. 7. Machado C. 10. Luayza M. 9. Moreno M. 11. Fernandez M.
Substitutes
12. Amade L. (G) 15. Bacas T. 13. Lorenzon F. 20. Luna E. 18. Oro P. 16. Robles E. 19. Sandoval I. 14. Valenzuela I. 17. Vallejos I.	17. Alvarez B. 15. Chiavetto A. 16. Funes F. 20. Galeano M. 19. Jara A. 13. Pinto M. 14. Riquelme R. D. 18. Silva A. 12. Velazquez F. (G)
Coaches
Otta W.	Lemos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Gorgerino C. 🟨,
17', Ledesma D. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Fagundez F. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Acosta E. ⚽,
44', Moreno M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torres F. ↓, Funes F. ↑,
46', Luayza M. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
64', Beron J. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
68', Carrera S. 🟨,
70', Marin F. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
71', Acosta E. ↓, Bacas T. ↑,
71', Fagundez F. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
71', Contreras E. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Funes F. ⚽,
78', Alvarez B. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
82', Brinone S. ↓, Lorenzon F. ↑,
85', Moreno M. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
85', Galeano M. 🟨,
90+3', (Pen),
90+3', Jara A. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guillermo Brown could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.24	San Martín de San Juan - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLTT
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.24	Guillermo Brown - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Quilmes - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Guillermo Brown - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.08.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	3:2
08.12.19	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	1:1

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