Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 12

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Guilsfield		Bangor 1876

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	3.75
	1.64	4.09	3.87
	2.13	3.6	2.8
	2.17	3.6	2.84
	2.14	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.75)	3.77 ↓ (3.86)	3.2 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guilsfield
46.9%

Draw
24.4%

Bangor 1876
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

22.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

21.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guilsfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Bangor 1876 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guilsfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor 1876 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Morris L. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Hughes I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 2, Matthews I. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Guilsfield in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bangor 1876 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guilsfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guilsfield is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Guilsfield to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
01.04.24	Guilsfield - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	4:1 ✺
19.03.24	Guilsfield - Caersws	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Guilsfield - Porthmadog	4:0 ✺
08.03.24	Llanidloes Town - Guilsfield	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTWW
- Bangor 1876
Welsh Cymru North
01.04.24	Bangor 1876 - Llandudno	0:3 ✺
15.03.24	Bangor 1876 - Mold Alexandra	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Prestatyn Town - Bangor 1876	3:4 ✺
02.03.24	Bangor 1876 - Ruthin Town	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Flint Town United - Bangor 1876	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
16.12.23	Bangor 1876 - Guilsfield	2:1

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