Match Info

Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guilsfield		Denbigh Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.95	3.80
	1.71	4.15	3.73
	1.74	4.21	3.88	Watch
	1.69	4.10	3.65
	1.66	3.98	3.91
	1.69	4.10	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)	4.08 ↓ (4.12)	3.8 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guilsfield
53.8%

Draw
22.3%

Denbigh Town
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guilsfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denbigh Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guilsfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denbigh Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guilsfield - Denbigh Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 1, Gallagher-Keenan T. ⚽,
77', 0 - 2, Kelly T. ⚽,
87', Knott R. 🟥,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guilsfield won 3.

Guilsfield is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Denbigh Town is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Guilsfield may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Guilsfield is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Guilsfield has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:13 (averaging 2.7:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guilsfield against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:5 goals (averaging 3.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Guilsfield	12	4	5	3	18:16	2	17
13	Denbigh	11	3	1	7	20:23	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
03.10.26	Guilsfield - Llanuwchllyn	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Guilsfield - Gresford Athletic	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Brickfield Rangers - Guilsfield	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLW
- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
02.10.26	Denbigh Town - Holyhead Hotspur	2:4 ✺
11.09.26	Denbigh Town - Bala Town	5:2 ✺
05.09.26	Newtown - Denbigh Town	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
20.01.26	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	3:2
11.10.25	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	2:1
18.01.25	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	3:2
02.11.24	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	4:3
23.03.24	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	4:1
24.02.24	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	2:2

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