Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guiseley		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.5	2.05
	2.85	3.4	2.15
	2.65	3.55	2.28
	2.63	3.53	2.41
	2.72	3.65	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.35)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	2.23 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
33.2%

Draw
25.9%

Gloucester City
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

26.3%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

20.5%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guiseley's performance.

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guiseley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guiseley - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Guiseley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gloucester is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Guiseley have a series of home games.

Recently Gloucester have a series of guest games.

Gloucester will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Guiseley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English National League North
21.08.21	Curzon Ashton - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Guiseley - Fylde	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Guiseley - Stockport County	0:5 ✺
03.08.21	Guiseley - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
20.07.21	Guiseley - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
21.08.21	Gloucester City - York City	4:0 ✺
14.08.21	Southport - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Bath City - Gloucester City	3:3 ✺
21.07.21	Cinderford Town - Gloucester City	2:3 ✺
17.07.21	Swindon Supermarine - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.11.20	Guiseley - Gloucester City	1:2
18.01.20	Guiseley - Gloucester City	2:1
28.09.19	Gloucester City - Guiseley	3:1
15.11.14	Gloucester City - Guiseley	1:3
30.08.14	Guiseley - Gloucester City	1:4
26.04.14	Guiseley - Gloucester City	3:1
31.08.13	Gloucester City - Guiseley	1:1

Guiseley - Gloucester City

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Guiseley - Gloucester City Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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