Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 41

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Swindon Supermarine		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.95	4	1.87
	2.75	4.1	2.02
	2.74	4.54	2.06
	2.87	4.33	2.06	Watch
	3.18	3.64	1.96
	2.75	4.1	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.3)	4.12 ↑ (3.9)	2 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
31.9%

Draw
22.3%

Gloucester City
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

23.4%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.3%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Swindon Supermarine - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Hanks J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, Hanks J. ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, Watts E. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Swindon Supermarine is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gloucester is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
18.04.25	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Swindon Supermarine - Frome Town	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Tiverton Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
18.04.25	Gloucester City - Marlow	7:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chertsey Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Gloucester City - Dorchester Town	3:3 ✺
28.03.25	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.12.24	Gloucester City - Swindon Supermarine	3:1
Club Friendly
12.07.22	Swindon Supermarine - Gloucester City	1:1
17.07.21	Swindon Supermarine - Gloucester City	0:2

Upcoming Matches