Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 12

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Southport		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	1.95	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.94	3.67	3.62
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	1.92	3.58	3.58
	1.92	3.45	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.34)	3.54 ↑ (3.32)	3.54 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
48.2%

Draw
25.9%

Gloucester City
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southport's performance.

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Southport - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Southport will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southport won 2.

Southport in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gloucester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Southport will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Southport won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Southport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
07.10.23	Bishops Stortford - Southport	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Southport - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	King`s Lynn Town - Southport	1:4 ✺
05.09.23	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Hereford - Southport	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 WTWWW
- Gloucester City
English National League North
07.10.23	Gloucester City - Chorley	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Darlington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Gloucester City - Farsley	0:1 ✺
05.09.23	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.04.23	Southport - Gloucester City	0:1
08.10.22	Gloucester City - Southport	3:2
22.01.22	Gloucester City - Southport	0:1
14.08.21	Southport - Gloucester City	2:2
25.01.20	Gloucester City - Southport	0:1
07.12.19	Southport - Gloucester City	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
31.10.26	Southport - AFC Telford United	✺

Southport - Gloucester City