Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio General Gutierrez (Maipu)


	Gutiérrez de Mendoza		Atenas Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.87
	4.05	3.25	1.78	Watch
	3.62	3.65	1.78
	4.02	3.3	1.83
	2.15	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.15)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.23 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gutiérrez de Mendoza
29.7%

Draw
28%

Atenas Río Cuarto
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gutiérrez de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gutiérrez de Mendoza's form might have worsened.

Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atenas Río Cuarto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gutiérrez de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gutiérrez de Mendoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atenas Río Cuarto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Atenas Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gutiérrez will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Atenas Río Cuarto will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atenas Río Cuarto: 67.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Gutiérrez (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Atenas Río Cuarto (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atenas Río Cuarto (1.39) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Atenas Río Cuarto (2.34) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Gutiérrez (votes: 4 - 19%). Atenas Río Cuarto (votes: 17 - 81%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flores E. (G) 4. Ali N. 10. Arce N. 9. Bernal R. 11. Estigarribia C. 5. Marquez F. 7. Miranda E. 3. Pena P. 6. Trentin J. 2. Viscarra A. 8. Zabaleta B.	1. Geist C. (G) 2. Araya F. 11. Arguello M. 3. Guzman G. 7. Mana M. 5. Martinez M. 8. Mucignat F. 10. Palavecino P. 6. Peralta F. 4. Perez L. 9. Tuset M.
Substitutes
17. Corvalan J. D. 15. Garcia G. 14. Gonzalez J. 12. Martin J. (G) 13. Mesa F. 16. Quiroga J. 18. Villalobos L.	14. Fernandez A. 17. Hernandez A. 12. Herrera F. 16. Pedrueza L. 18. Perez F. 13. Romero J. 15. Suarez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Arguello M. 🟨,
23', Trentin J. 🟨,
23', Viscarra A. 🟨,
45', Marquez F. 🟨,
45+8', 0 - 1, Guzman G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', Arce N. 🟥,
83', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Guzman G. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Bernal R. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Gutiérrez is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Recent form of Gutiérrez has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atenas Río Cuarto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atenas Río Cuarto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gutiérrez will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gutiérrez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Gutiérrez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gutiérrez SC de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.25	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
16.06.25	Huracán Las Heras - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTWLL
- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.06.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Costa Brava	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Huracán Las Heras - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.05.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	4:1
02.06.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Atenas Río Cuarto	2:1
05.04.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:1

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