Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 7

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio General Gutierrez (Maipu)


	Gutiérrez de Mendoza		Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4	Watch
	1.83	3.26	4.18
				Watch
	1.78	3.24	4.38
	1.88	3.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.22)	3.2 (3.2)	4.17 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gutiérrez de Mendoza
49.7%

Draw
28.5%

Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gutiérrez de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gutiérrez de Mendoza's performance.

Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gutiérrez de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gutiérrez de Mendoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cebreiro D. (G) 4. Ali N. 2. Mesa F. 6. Gonzalez J. 3. Zapata M. 8. Luques J. 5. Marquez F. 10. Arce N. 11. Zabaleta B. 7. Quiroga J. 9. Pipistrelli I.	1. Abrahin M. (G) 4. Rosales J. 2. Masuero A. 6. Esteves I. 3. Sosa E. 8. Bustamante F. 5. Diaz E. 10. Bustamante J. 11. Ruiz Sosa M. 7. Carabali 9. Soda P.
Substitutes
15. Carrion T. 12. Clavijo T. (G) 14. Dominguez M. 17. Lucero C. 18. Reveco F. 13. Trentin J. 16. Villalobos L.	15. Astudillo B. 14. Caro V. 17. Gonzalez A. 18. Lazaneo J. 13. Sarmiento T. 12. Sequeira N. (G) 16. Teixeira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Esteves I. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Mesa F. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, Lazaneo J. ⚽,
50', 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Masuero A. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
65', 1 - 3, Sarmiento T. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Gutiérrez is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sportivo Estudiantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Estudiantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gutiérrez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gutiérrez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gutiérrez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gutiérrez SC de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.04.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - San Martín de Mendoza	5:4 ✺
23.03.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Club Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.04.25	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.06.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:1
14.04.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0

Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide