Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday


	Gutiérrez de Mendoza		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	2.87
	2.45	2.85	2.95
	2.49	2.84	3.26
				Watch
	2.4	2.79	3.12
	2.45	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.02)	2.83 ↓ (3.2)	3.03 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gutiérrez de Mendoza
37.5%

Draw
32.3%

Villa Mitre
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gutiérrez de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gutiérrez de Mendoza's form might have worsened.

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gutiérrez de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gutiérrez de Mendoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-4%)

Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Jeldres S. ⚽,
53', Tejada E. 🟥,
72', 1 - 1, Lopez S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Gutiérrez will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gutiérrez SC de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.07.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Juventud Unida Universitario - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Deportivo Camioneros	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	San Martín de Mendoza - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWTW
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.07.24	Villa Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Deportivo Rincón - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Villa Mitre - Cipolletti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWTW

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