Match Info

Date: 4 December 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Guía		Arucas

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	3.9
	1.67	3.3	4.1
	1.7	3.7	3.95
	1.75	3.71	4.32
	1.73	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	3.52 ↓ (4.09)	4.09 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guía
52.3%

Draw
25.6%

Arucas
22.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

21.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

17.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Arucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guía than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guía, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Guía - Arucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 12 (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 12 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Guía is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arucas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guía could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guía is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Guía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
27.11.20	Villa de Santa Brígida - Guía	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.11.20	Guía - Buñol	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
06.11.20	Panadería Pulido - Guía	2:1 ✺
30.10.20	Guía - Unión Viera	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Guía - Lanzarote	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLLWW
- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
27.11.20	UD San Fernando - Arucas	2:0 ✺
21.11.20	Arucas - Unión Viera	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Arucas - Las Palmas C	2:3 ✺
23.10.20	Villa de Santa Brígida - Arucas	3:0 ✺
17.10.20	Arucas - Panadería Pulido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Guía - Arucas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Guía - Arucas Predictions

Preview

Form

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