Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 17

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry		Carina Gubin

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	2.9
	2.02	3.55	2.92
	2.01	3.55	2.92
	2.07	3.6	3.04	Watch
	2	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.2)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	2.96 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
44.4%

Draw
25.2%

Carina Gubin
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Carina Gubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Carina Gubin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.11.23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	3:1 ✺
04.11.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
15.10.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.11.23	Carina Gubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Carina Gubin	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.10.23	Carina Gubin - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.10.23	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Carina Gubin	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Carina Gubin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.04.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Carina Gubin	1:1
10.09.22	Carina Gubin - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1
11.06.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Carina Gubin	0:0
06.11.21	Carina Gubin - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:2

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