Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball app


	Göppinger		Homburg

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.49
	5.5	4	1.55
	5.43	4.09	1.56
	5.29	4.02	1.54
	5.38	4.05	1.5
	5.5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (3.64)	4.04 ↑ (3.6)	1.53 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göppinger
17.2%

Draw
22.8%

Homburg
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

24.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göppinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Göppinger's form might have worsened.

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Homburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Göppinger than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Göppinger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Homburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Göppinger - Homburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Milisic F. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', Ristl M. 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Hummel D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Göppinger is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Homburg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Göppinger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Homburg is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göppinger SV
German Regionalliga Sudwest
24.09.24	Mainz II - Göppinger	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt II - Göppinger	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Göppinger - Hessen Kassel	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Göppinger - Stuttgarter Kickers	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Eintracht Trier - Göppinger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLTL
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
21.09.24	Homburg - Astoria Walldorf	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Gießen - Homburg	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Homburg - Villingen	6:0 ✺
30.08.24	Homburg - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Eintracht Frankfurt II - Homburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTW

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