Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Homburg		Villingen

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.4
	1.6	4.33	4.5
	1.61	4.2	4.51
	1.6	4.13	4.57	Watch
	1.4	4.4	5.8
	1.58	4.1	4.55
	1.6	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)	4.21 ↑ (3.9)	4.69 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homburg
58.6%

Draw
21.8%

Villingen
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Villingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villingen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Homburg - Villingen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Suljic A. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Mendler M. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, Hummel D. ⚽,
65', 4 - 0, Mendler M. ⚽,
69', Osmicic A. 🟥,
71', 5 - 0, Kirchhoff B. ⚽,
82', 6 - 0, Collmann J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Homburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villingen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Homburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Homburg is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.08.24	Homburg - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Eintracht Frankfurt II - Homburg	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Mainz II - Homburg	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Homburg - Stuttgarter Kickers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTTT
- FC 08 Villingen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
31.08.24	Villingen - Eintracht Frankfurt II	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hessen Kassel - Villingen	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Villingen - Mainz II	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Villingen - Heidenheim	0:4 ✺
German Regionalliga Sudwest
10.08.24	Stuttgarter Kickers - Villingen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLL

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