Match Info

Date: 8 August 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Güemes		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.87	2.25	Watch
	3.6	2.7	2.25
	3.5	2.63	2.3
	3.55	2.7	2.22
	3.79	2.77	2.38
	3.8	2.6	2.2
	3.4	2.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.16)	2.72 ↑ (2.66)	2.27 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
25.4%

Draw
34%

Instituto Córdoba
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

34.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

36.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Güemes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Instituto Córdoba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	52.6%	31.6%

Güemes - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Instituto will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Güemes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Instituto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Instituto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Instituto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.07.22	Sacachispas - Güemes	0:2 ✺
27.07.22	Güemes - Mitre	1:1 ✺
22.07.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Güemes	1:0 ✺
18.07.22	Güemes - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
09.07.22	Quilmes - Güemes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTLTW
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.08.22	Instituto Córdoba - All Boys	2:0 ✺
27.07.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Instituto Córdoba - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
17.07.22	Chaco For Ever - Instituto Córdoba	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.08.21	Güemes - Instituto Córdoba	1:1
04.04.21	Instituto Córdoba - Güemes	0:0

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