Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 1

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Güemes

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.75	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.5
				Watch
	2.27	2.85	3.88
	2.23	2.82	3.82	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.6
	2.22	2.86	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.91)	2.86 ↓ (2.99)	3.71 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
42.2%

Draw
32.6%

Güemes
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

31.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.

Ferro Carril Oeste - Güemes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 3. Ayala R. 9. Benegas M. 10. Castellani G. 8. Cosi J. 11. Gonzalez T. 6. Lorenzo A. 7. Palacio P. 5. Ramirez G. 2. Rivero F. 4. Vallejos M.	. Pezzini N. (G) . Alvarez M. . Bettini M. . Brylko H. . Chiozza L. . Fissore M. . Gerez M. . Gonzalez F. . Juarez W. . Monserrat N. . Papa G.
Coaches
Grelak A.	Vazquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Palacio P. 🟨,
62', Palacios P. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
62', Lopez F. ↓, Gauna J. ↑,
62', Gerez M. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
62', Gonzalez T. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
68', Castellani G. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
69', Palacio P. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
69', Fissore M. ↓, Papa G. ↑,
74', Alvarez M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
79', Cosi J. ↓, Esidin T. ↑,
79', Ramirez G. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
85', Quiroga S. 🟨,

Preview

Ferro Carril will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.10.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	San Miguel - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
07.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Maipú	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTLT
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.10.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Güemes - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Güemes	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Güemes - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Quilmes - Güemes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.09.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Güemes	1:1
28.04.24	Güemes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:3
22.07.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Güemes	1:0
24.07.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Güemes	1:1
14.03.21	Güemes - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0

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