Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Tristán Suárez		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	4.5	Watch
	1.98	3	3.9
	2.01	3	4	Watch
	2.03	2.99	4.21	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4
	1.98	2.93	4.24	Watch
	2.01	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.09)	2.99 ↑ (2.78)	4.12 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
46.5%

Draw
31%

Deportivo Maipú
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

33.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

32.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sumavil N. (G) 2. Ostachuk P. 4. Guillen M. 6. Taron M. 3. Nouet F. 5. Perez T. 8. Abet A. 10. Boasso F. 7. Fernandez M. 9. Almiron E. 11. Sosa A.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Paredes L. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. Ozuna E. 5. Villarreal M. 8. Del Priore N. 7. Saccone F. 10. Ramirez D. 11. Viguet M. 9. Sandoval I.
Substitutes
18. Arreguin E. 13. Guzman M. 19. Magnotta S. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Pantaleone N. 17. Ruiz P. 20. Sayago D. 15. Steimbach A. 16. Villegas L.	14. Arnijas L. 20. Bonacci P. 16. Bonfigli M. 19. Eggel M. 15. Faggioli L. 12. Galardi N. (G) 17. Mansilla G. 18. Silva T. 13. Vallejo L.
Coaches
Martinez J.	Sara J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ramirez D. ⚽, Viguet M. (A),
29', Pietrobono I. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Sosa A. ⚽, Perez T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Viguet M. 🟨,
64', Saccone F. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
64', Sandoval I. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
68', Sosa A. ↓, Arreguin E. ↑,
68', Abet A. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
68', Almiron E. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
78', Ramirez D. ↓, Eggel M. ↑,
80', Boasso F. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
80', Fernandez M. ↓, Magnotta S. ↑,
87', Del Priore N. ↓, Mansilla G. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Tristán Suárez is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.8:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Los Andes - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Güemes - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Tristán Suárez - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLTWW
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.08.24	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú	1:2
23.03.24	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:0
09.07.23	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	3:2
04.03.23	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú	0:4
17.05.22	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:1

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