Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)


	Deportivo Maipú		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.70	3.90	Watch
	1.95	2.90	4.10
	2.17	2.90	3.65	Watch
	2.09	2.91	4.51
	2.13	2.67	4.58	Watch
	2.05	2.80	4.00
	2.03	2.69	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.28)	2.8 ↑ (2.59)	4.14 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
44.4%

Draw
33.2%

Tristán Suárez
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

35.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

34.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 6. Ferreyra T. 3. de la Reta J. 5. Mansilla G. 10. Eggel M. (C) 8. Bonfigli M. 11. Gobetto J. 7. Saccone F. 9. Giacone J.	1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Guzman M. 2. Aguilar B. 6. Baldi A. 3. Henry N. 7. Guillen M. 5. Del Priore N. (C) 8. Sanchez A. 10. Veliez A. 9. Alvarez M. 11. Berrondo A.
Substitutes
19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 17. Nazar J. 14. Ortale M. 13. Paulini S. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 20. Rivarola F. 18. Silva T. 16. Vera J.	17. Almada A. 18. Banuera G. 19. Becker D. 20. Beron J. 13. Fernandez N. 15. Ferulano M. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Molina A. 16. Sanchez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Giacone J. 🟨,
39', Veliez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Berrondo A. ↓, Almada A. ↑,
58', Giacone J. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
61', Veliez A. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
61', Sanchez A. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
71', Ferreyra T. 🟥,
71', Eggel M. 🟨,
74', Eggel M. ↓, Paulini S. ↑,
75', Almada A. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
75', Henry N. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Beron J. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Bonfigli M. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Maipú is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Tristán Suárez - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 24.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.06.26	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Temperley - Deportivo Maipú	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWW
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.26	Tristán Suárez - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Patronato Parana - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Quilmes - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Ferrocarril Midland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.08.25	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:0
05.04.25	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú	1:1
10.08.24	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú	1:2
23.03.24	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:0
09.07.23	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	3:2
04.03.23	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú	0:4
17.05.22	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:1

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