Match Info

Date: 10 April 2021, Saturday


	Hércules		Badalona

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.75	4.25
	2.05	2.75	4
	2.03	2.75	4
	2.09	2.79	4.44
	2.1	2.8	3.9
	2.05	2.91	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.45)	2.79 ↓ (2.82)	4.1 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
44.9%

Draw
32.8%

Badalona
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Badalona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Badalona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hércules - Badalona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Hércules is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Badalona is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badalona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hércules won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.04.21	Lleida - Hércules	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	La Nucía - Hércules	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Hércules - Levante B	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Hércules - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- CF Badalona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.04.21	Badalona - La Nucía	4:1 ✺
28.03.21	Badalona - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Cornellà - Badalona	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Badalona - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Espanyol B - Badalona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.12.19	Hércules - Badalona	1:2
10.03.19	Badalona - Hércules	2:1
21.10.18	Hércules - Badalona	1:0
04.02.18	Badalona - Hércules	0:0
16.09.17	Hércules - Badalona	1:1
19.02.17	Hércules - Badalona	1:3
02.10.16	Badalona - Hércules	0:0

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