Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Hércules		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.3	2.9
	2.7	2.7	2.6
	2.92	2.52	2.82
	3.05	2.48	3.05
	3.32	2.32	2.96	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.5
	2.75	2.47	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.57)	2.5 ↓ (2.87)	2.82 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
31.3%

Draw
36.5%

Ibiza
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.8%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Hércules - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 5. Monsalve N. 4. Rentero J. 21. Retu 2. Vazquez S. 23. Calavera J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 7. Escudero A. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 10. Espinosa N. 11. Ropero U.	1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 21. Kembo Y. 18. Indias I. 22. Sola A. 17. Medina U. 24. Valls T. 12. Garcia D. 11. Castillo F. 14. Nsukula G. 9. Davo 10. Svensson M.
Substitutes
3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 13. Blazic A. (G) 17. De Leon J. 16. Fede 28. Galvan J. 35. Lidon A. (G) 8. Mangada C. 26. Sergio G. F. 19. Sol F.	7. Bebe 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 19. Eslava J. 4. Monjonell E. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 25. Torrelavid C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Indias I. 🟨,
40', Monsalve N. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
42', Alvarez A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Puch Herrantz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Calavera J. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Escudero A. ⚽,
57', Svensson M. 🟨,
60', Svensson M. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
61', Juan Ramirez R. 🟥,
63', Davo ↓, Paradowski T. ↑,
68', Escudero A. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Castillo F. ⚽,
75', Retu ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
79', Nsukula G. ↓, Monjonell E. ↑,
79', Indias I. ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
82', Ben Hamed N. 🟨,
83', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
83', Escudero A. ↓, Sergio G. F. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

Recent form of Hércules has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ibiza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hércules won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Hércules - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.48%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Ibiza - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.05.26	Villarreal B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Hércules - Teruel	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sabadell - Hércules	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Hércules - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Alcorcón - Hércules	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLTL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.05.26	Ibiza - Atlético Sanluqueño	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Villarreal B - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ibiza - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Ibiza - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.25	Ibiza - Hércules	2:1
30.03.25	Hércules - Ibiza	3:2
15.09.24	Ibiza - Hércules	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.02.21	Hércules - Ibiza	1:0
29.11.20	Ibiza - Hércules	1:0

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