The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hércules 44.3%
Draw 30.6%
Fuenlabrada 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
30.5%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
30%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Hércules - Fuenlabrada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 15. Vazquez S. 4. Montoro A. 20. Sotillos A. 21. Retu 19. Mangada C. 6. Colomina R. 11. Moreno Sanchez J. 18. Soldevila O. 10. Espinosa N. (C) 9. Coscia A.
1. Diaz L. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 3. Barbu 4. Mauro M. 5. Alba D. 8. Ruiz Fer 10. Galindo A. 15. Moyano A. 14. Barbosa A. 9. Omoigui C. 19. Faure I.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 7. Alvarito 22. Aranda A. 8. Artiles J. 24. Arumi J. 14. Garcia M. 5. Gomez Meneses J. M. 12. Richmond S.
6. Alvaro Garcia 13. Bloch F. (G) 20. Casas I. 23. Chang-Sang J. 22. Javi Curras 21. Nene 12. Pinan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Espinosa N. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Espinosa N. ↓, Alvarito ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Alvarito ⚽,
58', Galindo A. ↓, Pinan A. ↑,
58', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Alvaro Garcia ↑,
58', Barbu ↓, Casas I. ↑,
63', Mangada C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
67', Colomina R. 🟨,
74', Coscia A. ↓, Artiles J. ↑,
84', Colomina R. ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
84', Soldevila O. ↓, Richmond S. ↑,
86', Barbosa A. ↓, Javi Curras ↑,
87', Faure I. ↓, Nene ↑,
90+10', 🟨,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 11).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Hércules will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Hércules won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2