Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Atlético Madrid B		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	1.68	3.3	4.33
	2.02	3.1	3.65
	2.13	3.13	3.8
	2.23	2.96	3.47	Watch
	2	2.9	3.6
	1.99	3.05	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.72)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	3.71 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
45.4%

Draw
29.9%

Hércules
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

30%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid B's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Madrid B - Hércules Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Hércules (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hércules (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 22. Perovic M. 7. Luque I. 10. Belaid R. 6. Serrano J. (C) 18. Bellotti M. 9. Llorente R. 23. Ortiz A.	13. Blazic A. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. 20. Sotillos A. 21. Retu 14. Ben Hamed N. 6. Colomina R. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 7. Escudero A. 11. Ropero U. 10. Espinosa N. (C)
Substitutes
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 3. Diaz J. 37. Grant C. 11. Koke 30. Llorente M. 17. Monserrate J. 14. Morcillo J. 24. Najera R. 21. Sits D.	3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 23. Calavera J. 17. De Leon J. 28. Galvan J. 24. Jimenez J. 8. Mangada C. 30. Mompean M. (G) 26. Sergio G. F. 19. Sol F. 9. Toril A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ropero U. ↓, Sol F. ↑,
36', Serrano J. 🟨,
45+5', Sotillos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Colomina R. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
46', Sotillos A. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
65', Perovic M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
65', Bellotti M. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
72', Llorente R. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
72', Retu ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
88', Serrano J. ↓, Koke ↑,
88', Luque I. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
88', Escudero A. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
90+1', Bonar J. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Atlético Madrid B is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Madrid B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.02.26	Sevilla B - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWTL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.02.26	Hércules - Eldense	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Hércules	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Hércules - Antequera	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	CE Europa - Hércules	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Hércules - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.25	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	3:0
07.02.25	Atlético Madrid B - Hércules	1:0
26.10.24	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	1:2

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