The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hércules 60.7%
Draw 25.6%
La Nucía 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.2%
20.9%
11.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.5%
19.9%
11.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.
La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Hércules - La Nucía Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 1.
Recent matches Hércules is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
La Nucía is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
La Nucía could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Hércules is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Hércules won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.