Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 34

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)


	Hércules		Lleida

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.25
	1.47	4	6.5
	1.45	3.92	7.44
	1.44	4.14	6.97
	1.47	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	3.94 ↑ (3.69)	6.67 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
63%

Draw
23.2%

Lleida
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

23.1%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hércules - Lleida Predictions

Users Predictions: Hércules will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Gomez Meneses J. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Bakero J. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Coscia A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Lleida is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 3.

Hércules in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Lleida is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hércules to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Hércules won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.04.24	Badalona Futur - Hércules	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	5:1 ✺
14.04.24	Manresa - Hércules	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alzira - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.04.24	Lleida - CE Europa	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Lleida	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Lleida - Penya Independent	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Andratx - Lleida	2:3 ✺
31.03.24	Lleida - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.01.24	Lleida - Hércules	0:1
09.04.23	Lleida - Hércules	0:1
27.11.22	Hércules - Lleida	0:4
19.05.21	Hércules - Lleida	3:1
04.04.21	Lleida - Hércules	1:0
03.11.19	Hércules - Lleida	1:1
16.03.19	Hércules - Lleida	0:0

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