Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)


	Hércules		Atlético Saguntino

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.53	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.75	7
	1.51	3.75	7
	1.56	3.95	5.72
	1.49	3.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)	3.77 ↑ (3.48)	6.36 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
61%

Draw
24.5%

Atlético Saguntino
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Saguntino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Saguntino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hércules - Atlético Saguntino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Mendes M. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Espinosa N. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Saguntino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hércules is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hércules won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.03.24	Alzira - Hércules	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Hércules - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	La Nucía - Hércules	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Hércules - Valencia B	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Hércules - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTTT
- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
31.03.24	Atlético Saguntino - CE Europa	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Atlético Saguntino	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Saguntino - Penya Independent	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Andratx - Atlético Saguntino	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Saguntino - Sant Andreu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.11.23	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	3:1
07.05.23	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	2:1
08.01.23	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	2:3
15.04.18	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	0:1
19.11.17	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	1:2
02.04.17	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	2:0
06.11.16	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	0:0

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