Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 32

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)


	Hércules		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.09	6.71
	1.46	4.1	6.71
	1.44	4.19	6.82
	1.43	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)	4.14 ↑ (3.67)	6.63 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hércules
63.8%

Draw
22.3%

Peña Deportiva
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Coscia A. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Coscia A. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Alvarito ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 4 - 0, Mendes M. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, Tovar J. ⚽,
86', Chica S. 🟨,
90', 5 - 1, Dapaah S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 3.

Hércules is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hércules is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hércules to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hércules won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.04.24	Manresa - Hércules	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alzira - Hércules	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Hércules - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	La Nucía - Hércules	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.04.24	Peña Deportiva - CE Europa	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Penya Independent	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Sant Andreu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.12.23	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	1:5
12.03.23	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	2:0
23.10.22	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	2:1
07.02.21	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	2:1
08.11.20	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	1:0
18.03.18	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	1:0
29.10.17	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	1:0

Upcoming Matches