Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 20

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)


	Hércules		Prat

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.67	3.3	5.2
	2	3.05	3.3
	1.71	3.41	4.98
	1.68	3.48	4.9
	1.7	3.35	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.12)	3.31 ↑ (3)	4.6 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
52.5%

Draw
27.7%

Prat
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

30.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.4%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Prat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Prat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prat than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Prat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Hércules - Prat Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hércules will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Prat will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Hércules is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Prat is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hércules to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.01.23	Badalona Futur - Hércules	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Hércules - Mallorca B	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Hércules - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	2:3 ✺
17.12.22	Alzira - Hércules	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWWT
- AE Prat
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.01.23	Prat - Alzira	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Zaragoza B - Prat	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Olot - Prat	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Prat - Lleida	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Terrassa - Prat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.09.22	Prat - Hércules	0:2
12.01.20	Hércules - Prat	2:2
24.08.19	Prat - Hércules	1:1
12.03.17	Prat - Hércules	1:1
23.10.16	Hércules - Prat	0:2

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