Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Saguntino		Hércules

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	1.98
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	4.27	3.05	1.99
	4.28	3.05	1.94
	3.94	3.08	1.91
	3.65	3.05	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.41)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	2.1 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
25.1%

Draw
30.5%

Hércules
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Saguntino's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Saguntino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Saguntino - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hércules could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hércules will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Saguntino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.11.23	CE Europa - Atlético Saguntino	4:0 ✺
11.11.23	Atlético Saguntino - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Penya Independent - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Atlético Saguntino - Andratx	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Sant Andreu - Atlético Saguntino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.11.23	Hércules - Alzira	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Terrassa - Hércules	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hércules - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Hércules - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.10.23	Valencia B - Hércules	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.05.23	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	2:1
08.01.23	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	2:3
15.04.18	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	0:1
19.11.17	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	1:2
02.04.17	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	2:0
06.11.16	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	0:0

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